Saturday, September 22, 2012

22 September 2012 Yom Kippur War 2nd iteration



What if Israel bombed Iran? The view from Washington.

By Karim Sadjadpour and Blake Hounshell, Published: September 21

For months, Israel has threatened to strike Iran’s nuclear sites. The United States has urged restraint. If such an operation were launched, how might Washington react?
President Obama is enjoying a quiet dinner with Michelle, Sasha and Malia at the White House residence on a Thursday evening in October when he gets the call…”

What if Israel bombed Iran? The view from Tehran.

By  Azadeh Moaveni, Published: September 21

For months, Israel has threatened to strike Iran’s nuclear sites. The United States has urged restraint. If such an operation were launched, how might Tehran react?
Hamid has been awake since midnight, when Israeli bombs struck the Tehran Nuclear Research Center in nearby Amirabad. The boom reverberated throughout the city nearby, sending plumes of smoke into the night. Sirens punctuated the hours till the gray-pink dawn. With the Internet down, Hamid crouches before Radio Tehran, which reports that key nuclear sites at Arak, Natanz and Isfahan have also been hit.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/if-israel-bombed-iran-what-would-life-in-tel-aviv-be-like/2012/09/21/7f86e55e-776a-11e1-883d-f22537a8ca20_story.html

If Israel bombed Iran, what would life in Tel Aviv be like?

Anat Berko, Published: September 21

For months, Israel has threatened to strike Iran’s nuclear sites. The United States has urged restraint. If such an operation were launched, how might Tel Aviv react?
“Our pilots,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu proclaims on the Channel 2 TV news, “carried out their difficult and dangerous task for the sake of the state of Israel. They have struck several Iranian nuclear facilities and have returned safely.”

Lessons from an Iranian war game

By David Ignatius, Published: September 20

Perhaps it was the “fog of simulation.” But the scariest aspect of a U.S.-Iran war game staged this week was the way each side miscalculated the other’s responses — and moved toward war even as the players thought they were choosing restrained options…
“…The unsolved puzzle for the U.S. side was how to stop the conflict, once it started. The Iranians, for their part, had decided to bleed the United States in a protracted struggle. The lesson of the exercise, concluded Pollack, is that “small miscalculations are magnified very quickly.”
Cassi Creek:  It is worth the time reading these articles in their entirety.
          This is all conjecture but based upon the writings of people who practice such conjecture for a living.  The suppositions of people who reside in D.C., Tel Aviv, and even Teheran bring significant weight to the calculations of death and destruction that these articles predict. 
          The Iranian calculations are made more complex by the religious nature of their government and the same division of their military.  Israel is hampered by their Haradim and their refusal to bear arms as part of the IDF despite the willingness of some Haradim to initiate civil disruption using funds sent from U.S.  Citizens who want to bring about a Greater Israel (biblical Israel)
          The U.S. presence is also made more difficult by the justifiable military alliance with Israel and the pressure exerted by Christians eager to bring about the mythical battle of Meggido that will initiate their end of days scenario.
          Failure of abilities to communicate between the hostile factions is the most dangerous problem in the projected conflict.  Gaming these conflicts out so that our military has valid operating  assumptions and hard guidelines may be the most critical thing our armed forces and the White House are engaged in doing. 
          Yom Kippur is a date I selected for historical reasons. 
          I’m hopeful that this particular war will not begin.   We need to avoid the worldwide economic disruption that Iran could bring about.  I don’t want to see the loss of life that will take place in Israel, in the U.S., and in any other locations that might become strike points where Iranian-funded terrorists might target Americans. 
          I am greatly concerned that a GOP/teavangelist victory in November would lead to the certainly of a war with Iran.  There is too great a chance of profiteering companies such as Halliburton will pressure Romney and Ryan into another commercially selected war such as Iraq.  This is to be avoided despite the pressure being brought to bear by Romney-Ryan and the GOP/teavangelists.




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