I know, I
know, Iran is misspelled. I claim
literary license, or privilege. Whatever
it takes to satisfy the internal spell check that keeps pointing out the error
is what I claim. Just in passing, it is
less troubling if you sing the phrase. Perhaps
it should go something like this:
Somewhere, over Irainbow, way up high;
There’s a drone that is circling,
sniffing Iranian skies.
Unverified by sites like Snopes it
searches for the isotopes below it
Though they may claim its peaceful
use, the drones reveal the war-like truth.
That’s how we know it.
The dilemma remains
unresolved in the largest scale and at the smallest.
Iran is
working toward the fabrication of a nuclear warhead. Every genuine look at the nature of their
existing “peaceful” program indicates that they are determined to become the
first nuclear power in the Middle East. They
want nuclear weapons to change the balance of power in the region and to alter
the current custody of the Islamic holy cities and sites. These, of course, are best accomplished by
the use of such weapons on the Islamic world’s two least favored nations,
Israel and the United States.
I’m badly
torn over how to deal with this. I
suspect that the U.S. will be their first target. There’s a huge amount of official hatred for
the U.S. among the Iranian mullahs, politicians, and military upper
echelon. The populace may want
democracy but they want Iranian democracy; not one we attempt, badly, to foist
upon them as we did in Iraq. Israel will
be targeted by not hit until the Iranian reach has been demonstrated.
Diplomacy
laced with economic sanctions is the current approach by the U.S. and the
European nations that have the political will to oppose Iran’s nuclear weaponry
plans. These have no effect upon the
more fanatical Iranians. Hardship tends
to pull a cohesive nation more tightly together. Recall North Vietnam and North Korea.
A military
solution is probably the only thing that will actually delay Iran’s development
and deployment of a nuclear warhead.
However, due to the manner in which the research and development facilities
are masked and screened by civic structures, mosques, schools, and military
bases, a military solution will be extremely costly in human lives. How many martyrs are we willing to create in
order to delay Iranian deployment of nuclear weapons?
How many
casualties are we willing to accept in order to prove Iran’s leaders are lying
about the nature of their program? How
many cities, and which ones will we knowingly sacrifice in order to avoid being
the nuclear aggressor?
I don’t have
an answer to any of the questions I’ve posed.
I believe that Iran will target us and deliver nuclear warheads to a terrorist
group for delivery and detonation. They
will display their facilities and insist that they had nothing to do with the
attacks. When it comes to Israel, they
will pull the trigger and take the credit.
I think we
are going to have to intervene militarily.
Iran will commit a series of staged provocations internally and on the
Persian Gulf. Europe will fail to
provide military intervention or to openly support such action. The U.S and Israel will be left alone to act
in their own defense. Intervention will
harden the internal opinion of the Iranian populace against us as happened when
we provided medical care for the Shah in 1979.
It is a
no-win situation that is going to be bloody.
I know what the likely outcome will be, what the most probable course of
action has to be. I’m glad that I don’t
have to pull the trigger on this one. I
won’t condemn the man or woman who has to give that order.
"There's no plane like drone, there's no plane like drone, there's no plane..."
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